Wednesday, November 26, 2008

It's never your turn.

Why can't the Russians figure out that NO ONE is ever going to let them be in charge of anything? It's one thing to predict the downfall of the United States, a point that may be somewhat credible but far less likely than he proposes, but to predict that Russia and China will share the spoils of that downfall. I'm guessing there are quite a few Europeans, Japanese, Indians and Koreans that don't happen to agree. I know the Russians think that since crackpots like Hugo Chavez are courting them again this has somehow re-elevated them back to the "Superpower" realm...whatever.

Let's look at Russia's future, I think there are two scenarios they will pursue to reassert themselves.

  1. Buy up all the oil and gas, hold Western Europe hostage.
  2. Bully every former Soviet satellite state until they submit to the intimidation and crawl pack into some neo-Warsaw Pact.
They'll try one of those or a combination of the two. Either way the way to assure that we stay above the fray is to eliminate our reliance on foreign oil.

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